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The Black Swan
排行榜:2010年书目
更新:2010-05-02
The Black Swan Theory is used by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain the existence and occurrence of high-impact, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations. Unlike the philosophical "black swan problem", the "Black Swan Theory" (capitalized) refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. Such events are considered extreme outliers.

It is noteworthy that in his writings, Taleb never uses the term "Black Swan Theory"; instead, he refers to "Black Swan Events"
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